Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 7

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Ankara Demirspor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.45	5.2
	1.67	3.35	5.3
	1.73	3.4	4.66
	1.59	3.56	5.28
	1.68	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.81)	3.44 ↑ (3.34)	5.04 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
55.1%

Draw
26.7%

Derince Belediyespor
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Ankara Demirspor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: Ankara Demirspor will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Guner T. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, Cordek A. E. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Cup
09.10.24	Ankara Demirspor - Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor	2:1 penalties ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
06.10.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Ankara Demirspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Ankara Demirspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
09.10.24	Artvin Hopaspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.24	Derince Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Arnavutköy - Derince Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Derince Belediyespor - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:5 ✺
15.09.24	Menemenspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTLL

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