Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Ankara Demirspor		Elazığspor

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.4	1.71
	4.4	3.55	1.75
	3.65	3.09	2.04
	4.42	3.6	1.68
	4.4	3.55	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (3.5)	3.44 ↑ (3.14)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ankara Demirspor
21.8%

Draw
26.7%

Elazığspor
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

28.7%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Elazığspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elazığspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elazığspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ankara Demirspor - Elazığspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Aktas M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Elazığspor is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ankara Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ankara Demirspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.25	Vanspor - Ankara Demirspor	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Ankara Demirspor - Nazillispor	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Ankara Demirspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
12.02.25	Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Ankara Demirspor - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWT
- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.03.25	Elazığspor - Erbaaspor	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Arnavutköy - Elazığspor	0:3 ✺
16.02.25	Menemenspor - Elazığspor	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Elazığspor - Giresunspor	5:0 ✺
08.02.25	Elazığspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
03.11.24	Elazığspor - Ankara Demirspor	3:2
10.11.19	Ankara Demirspor - Elazığspor	3:0
Turkish Cup
25.09.13	Elazığspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0
27.09.12	Ankara Demirspor - Elazığspor	0:1

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