Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Brasiliense

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.35
	2.91	3.05	2.38
	2.95	2.94	2.46	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.93	2.98	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.16)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.39 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
31.4%

Draw
30.7%

Brasiliense
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

30.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aparecidense's form might have worsened.

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brasiliense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brasiliense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aparecidense - Brasiliense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marlone ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Carlos Baje ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Carlos Baje ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Aparecidense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brasiliense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Brasiliense - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Aparecidense - Inhumas	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Aparecidense - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Primavera AC - Aparecidense	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Aparecidense - Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWLWW
- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Brasiliense - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Brasiliense - Gama	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Inhumas - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Luverdense - Brasiliense	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Brasiliense - Primavera AC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.05.26	Brasiliense - Aparecidense	1:1
31.07.21	Aparecidense - Brasiliense	1:0
10.07.21	Brasiliense - Aparecidense	1:2

Aparecidense - Brasiliense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide