The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aparecidense U20 13.3%
Draw 24.9%
Goiás U20 61.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13%
25.3%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
24.7%
63.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Goiás U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Goiás U20 is Qualified for Goiano U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In recent matches, Aparecidense U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Goiás U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aparecidense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Goiás U20 is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aparecidense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Aparecidense U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.