Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Apollon Pontou		Apollon Larissa

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	4.5
	1.41	3.91	5.26
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	4.15	5.5
	1.62	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.86)	3.92 ↑ (3.35)	5.15 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Pontou
59.6%

Draw
23%

Apollon Larissa
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.2%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Pontou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Apollon Pontou's performance.

Apollon Larissa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apollon Larissa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Pontou than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Pontou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Larissa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	12%	32%

Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Apollon Pontou will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Apollon Larissa will win (votes: 8 - 32%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Pontou: 36.5% – 75.5%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Pontou won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Apollon Pontou is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Apollon Pontou won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Pontou won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Pontou
Greek Super League 2
27.11.22	Niki Volos - Apollon Pontou	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Apollon Pontou - PAOK B	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Iraklis Larissa - Apollon Pontou	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Apollon Pontou - Diagoras	0:1 ✺
Greek Cup
20.10.22	Panelefsiniakos - Apollon Pontou	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLW
- Apollon Larissa
Greek Super League 2
26.11.22	Apollon Larissa - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
20.11.22	Veria - Apollon Larissa	1:2 ✺
12.11.22	Apollon Larissa - Makedonikos	1:0 ✺
07.11.22	Panathinaikos B - Apollon Larissa	5:2 ✺
Greek Cup
09.10.22	Apollon Larissa - Athens Kallithea	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
20.03.22	Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa	1:1
15.12.21	Apollon Larissa - Apollon Pontou	0:2
08.12.19	Apollon Larissa - Apollon Pontou	4:0
Greek Football League
27.03.19	Apollon Larissa - Apollon Pontou	3:1
16.12.18	Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa	1:0
16.05.18	Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa	1:0
04.02.18	Apollon Larissa - Apollon Pontou	1:0

Apollon Pontou - Apollon Larissa