Match Info

GREECE: SUPER LEAGUE 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 23 January 2023, Monday

Location: Georgios Kamaras Stadium (Athens)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Apollon Smyrni		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.9
	1.85	2.95	4.1
	1.87	3.1	4
	1.83	2.88	4.74
	1.83	3.02	5.05	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.03)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	4.3 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
48.2%

Draw
30.5%

Athens Kallithea
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Athens Kallithea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Apollon Smyrni - Athens Kallithea Predictions

Users Predictions: Apollon Smyrni will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 4 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 5.

Apollon Smyrni is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Athens Kallithea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Apollon Smyrni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Apollon Smyrni will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League 2
15.01.23	PAO Rouf - Apollon Smyrni	1:4 ✺
08.01.23	Apollon Smyrni - Egaleo	0:0 ✺
04.01.23	Ilioupolis - Apollon Smyrni	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Apollon Smyrni - Kalamata	0:2 ✺
12.12.22	Episkopi - Apollon Smyrni	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League 2
16.01.23	Athens Kallithea - Kalamata	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
10.01.23	Athens Kallithea - Lamia	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League 2
04.01.23	Athens Kallithea - PAE Chania	2:1 ✺
22.12.22	Panachaiki - Athens Kallithea	0:0 ✺
19.12.22	Athens Kallithea - Olympiacos Piraeus B	Athens Kallithea awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWT?

Latest Head to Head

Greek Football League
25.02.17	Athens Kallithea - Apollon Smyrni	1:2
30.10.16	Apollon Smyrni - Athens Kallithea	3:2
22.04.16	Athens Kallithea - Apollon Smyrni	0:1
Greek Football League - Group 1
16.02.15	Apollon Smyrni - Athens Kallithea	1:0
Greek Cup
13.09.14	Apollon Smyrni - Athens Kallithea	2:1
29.08.14	Athens Kallithea - Apollon Smyrni	1:1

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