Match Info

GREECE: GAMMA ETHNIKI - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Apollon Smyrni		Panionios

	1	X	2
	5.1	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↓ (6.79)	3.75 (3.75)	1.55 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
17.7%

Draw
24.1%

Panionios
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

24.2%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

23.5%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panionios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 1.

Apollon Smyrni is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Panionios in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Apollon Smyrni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Panionios is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
05.11.23	Apollon Smyrni - Fostiras	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Apollon Smyrni - Ilisiakos	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Aris Petroupolis - Apollon Smyrni	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Apollon Smyrni - Agia Paraskevi	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Episkopi - Apollon Smyrni	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLTL
- Panionios
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
29.10.23	Atsalenios - Panionios	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Panionios - Fostiras	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Agios Nikolaos - Panionios	0:0 ✺
07.10.23	Panionios - Ilisiakos	3:1 ✺
01.10.23	Aris Petroupolis - Panionios	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
09.02.19	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	0:1
30.09.18	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	0:2
Club Friendly
04.08.18	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	0:1
Greek Super League
13.01.18	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	1:1
27.08.17	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	2:0
22.02.14	Apollon Smyrni - Panionios	1:2
27.10.13	Panionios - Apollon Smyrni	2:1

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