Match Info

BRAZIL: MATOGROSSENSE - ROUND 8

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Araguaia		Operário Ltda

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.51
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5.61	3.69	1.52
	5.63	3.74	1.51
	5.5	3.75	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (4.6)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	1.52 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araguaia
16.4%

Draw
24.2%

Operário Ltda
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.7%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

26.5%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araguaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Operário Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ltda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ltda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Araguaia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Operário Ltda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Araguaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Operário Ltda have a series of home games.

In this match Operário Ltda is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Araguaia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araguaia AC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.24	Cuiabá - Araguaia	3:0 ✺
11.02.24	Araguaia - Mixto	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Luverdense - Araguaia	0:0 ✺
30.01.24	Dom Bosco - Araguaia	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Araguaia - Nova Mutum	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLL
- Operário FC Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.02.24	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Operário Ltda - Dom Bosco	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Operário Ltda - Mixto	2:1 ✺
23.01.24	Operário Ltda - Cuiabá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
10.02.19	Operário Ltda - Araguaia	1:0

Araguaia - Operário Ltda

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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