Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 10

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Tsentraluri Stadioni (Dusheti)


	Aragvi Dusheti		Gardabani

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.09	8.74
				Watch
	1.19	6.15	10.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	6.12 ↑ (5.75)	9.82 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
75.9%

Draw
14.8%

Gardabani
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

15.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

14.8%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aragvi Dusheti's performance.

Gardabani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gardabani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gardabani than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gardabani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Sadikov E. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Tutashvili N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Chkhaidze R. ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, Sadikov E. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Promotion: ) and 11).

Aragvi is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gardabani has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gardabani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aragvi is the clear favorite.

We predict that Aragvi will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Liga 3
22.05.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Aragvi Dusheti	2:6 ✺
08.05.25	Merani Tbilisi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Gori	6:0 ✺
16.04.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Kolkheti Khobi	7:1 ✺
10.04.25	WIT Georgia - Aragvi Dusheti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWT
- FC Gardabani
Georgian Liga 3
15.05.25	Didube - Gardabani	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Gardabani - Bakhmaro Chokhatauri	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Borjomi - Gardabani	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Gardabani - Varketili	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Lokomotivi Tbilisi 2 - Gardabani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWLL

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