Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 22

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Tsentraluri Stadioni (Dusheti)


	Aragvi Dusheti		Merani Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.11	4.34	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.52
	1.5	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	4.14 ↓ (4.2)	4.87 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aragvi Dusheti
59.4%

Draw
21.9%

Merani Tbilisi
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

21.6%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aragvi Dusheti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Merani Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragvi Dusheti than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merani Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Aragvi Dusheti - Merani Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Janelidze G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Aragvi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aragvi is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aragvi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aragvi Dusheti
Georgian Liga 3
03.10.25	Gori - Aragvi Dusheti	1:0 ✺
25.09.25	Aragvi Dusheti - Orbi	2:2 ✺
18.09.25	Kolkheti Khobi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1 ✺
12.09.25	Aragvi Dusheti - WIT Georgia	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Shturmi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWT
- Merani Tbilisi
Georgian Liga 3
02.10.25	Merani Tbilisi - Margveti Zestafoni	3:2 ✺
25.09.25	Didube - Merani Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Borjomi - Merani Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Merani Tbilisi - Varketili	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Gardabani - Merani Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Liga 3
08.05.25	Merani Tbilisi - Aragvi Dusheti	0:1

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