Match Info

First League - Round 25

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Ararat 2		Mika Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.25	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)	4.25 ↑ (4.15)	4.35 ↑ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat 2
58.1%

Draw
21.2%

Mika Yerevan
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

24%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mika Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ararat 2 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ararat 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mika Yerevan than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

Ararat 2 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mika has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ararat 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ararat 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ararat 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ararat 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Mika	7	2	2	3	12:14	-2	8
11	Ararat Yerevan 2	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ararat Yerevan 2
Armenian First League
13.04.26	Ararat 2 - Sardarapat	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Pyunik 2 - Ararat 2	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Ararat 2 - Noah 2	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Ararat 2 - Urartu 2	1:1 ✺
26.11.25	Van 2 - Ararat 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLTW
- FC Mika Yerevan
Armenian First League
07.04.26	Sardarapat - Mika Yerevan	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Pyunik 2 - Mika Yerevan	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Mika Yerevan - Syunik	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Lernayin Artsakh - Mika Yerevan	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Mika Yerevan - Andranik	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian First League
21.05.24	Mika Yerevan - Ararat 2	0:0
04.11.23	Ararat 2 - Mika Yerevan	0:1
04.04.23	Ararat 2 - Mika Yerevan	4:0
17.10.22	Mika Yerevan - Ararat 2	0:3

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