Match Info

Paranaense U20 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Araucária U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	6.8	5.11	1.31
	8.3	5.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.55 ↑ (5.97)	5.26 ↑ (4.8)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araucária U20
12%

Draw
17.3%

Athletico Paranaense U20
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

18.6%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

16.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araucária U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araucária U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletico Paranaense U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

1st leg.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Araucária U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletico PR U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Athletico PR U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletico PR U20 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araucária U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araucária U20
Brazilian Paranaense U20
14.06.25	Araucária U20 - Rio Branco PR U20	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Araucária U20	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Londrina U20 - Araucária U20	3:2 ✺
16.05.25	Araucária U20 - Hope Internacional U20	3:1 ✺
03.05.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba U20 - Araucária U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTLWW
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
18.06.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - São Paulo U20	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
14.06.25	FC Cascavel U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.25	Fluminense U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Paranaense U20
06.06.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Araucária U20	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Operário Ferroviario U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paranaense U20
06.06.25	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Araucária U20	1:1

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