Match Info

Paulista A4 - Round 7

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Araçatuba		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.68	2.52
	3.14	2.67	2.43
	3.07	2.79	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.5
	2.78	2.69	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.35)	2.67 ↓ (3.05)	2.5 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araçatuba
30.4%

Draw
33.7%

São Caetano
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.2%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araçatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Araçatuba - São Caetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
85', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Araçatuba is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, São Caetano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, São Caetano has had a series of home games.

São Caetano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Araçatuba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
25.02.26	Jacareí - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Araçatuba - Colorado Caieiras	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Taquaritinga - Araçatuba	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Araçatuba - Lemense FC	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Araçatuba	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
25.02.26	São Caetano - ECUS	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	São Caetano - Penapolense	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Jacareí - São Caetano	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	São Caetano - Nacional SP	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Caetano - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
12.02.25	São Caetano - Araçatuba	3:0

Araçatuba - São Caetano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide