Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday


	Arbaâ		Kabylie

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.15
	2.25	2.9	3.64
	2.1	2.88	3.6
	2.12	3.06	3.62
	2.21	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.91)	2.95 ↓ (3.19)	3.48 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbaâ
42.3%

Draw
31.2%

Kabylie
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.2%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

30.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbaâ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arbaâ's form might have worsened.

Kabylie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arbaâ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kabylie than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kabylie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	23.5%	29.4%

Arbaâ - Kabylie Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Arbaâ will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Kabylie will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arbaâ: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arbaâ won 0.

Arbaâ is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kabylie is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Arbaâ won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Arbaâ won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbaâ
Algerian Ligue 1
04.07.23	Khenchela - Arbaâ	2:1 ✺
01.07.23	Arbaâ - USM Alger	2:1 ✺
06.06.23	Constantine - Arbaâ	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	Arbaâ - ASO Chlef	0:3 ✺
17.05.23	Belouizdad - Arbaâ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLT
- JS Kabylie
Algerian Ligue 1
04.07.23	Kabylie - Biskra	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Saoura - Kabylie	2:2 ✺
06.06.23	Kabylie - MC Alger	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	ES Sétif - Kabylie	1:1 ✺
18.05.23	Kabylie - Oran	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
07.12.22	Kabylie - Arbaâ	4:0
12.03.22	Arbaâ - Kabylie	0:0
19.11.21	Kabylie - Arbaâ	1:1
30.04.16	Kabylie - Arbaâ	2:1
20.11.15	Arbaâ - Kabylie	1:1
16.05.15	Arbaâ - Kabylie	0:0
05.12.14	Kabylie - Arbaâ	2:1

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