Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Arbaâ		Magra

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.72	3.55	5.14
	1.67	3.4	4.75
	1.67	3.74	4.8
	1.71	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.46)	3.52 ↑ (3.15)	4.68 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbaâ
54.5%

Draw
26%

Magra
19.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

29.5%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbaâ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arbaâ's performance.

Magra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Magra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbaâ than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arbaâ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magra than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.1%	2.9%	0%

Arbaâ - Magra Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Arbaâ will win (votes: 34 - 97.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arbaâ: 91.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Arbaâ will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arbaâ won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arbaâ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbaâ
Algerian Ligue 1
31.03.23	El Bayadh - Arbaâ	3:1 ✺
17.03.23	Biskra - Arbaâ	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Arbaâ - Saoura	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	MC Alger - Arbaâ	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Arbaâ - ES Sétif	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- NC Magra
Algerian Ligue 1
31.03.23	Magra - Biskra	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	ES Sétif - Magra	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Magra - Oran	2:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
14.02.23	Magra - MC Alger	2:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
10.02.23	Paradou - Magra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
07.10.22	Magra - Arbaâ	0:0
12.04.22	Arbaâ - Magra	1:1
17.12.21	Magra - Arbaâ	1:2

Arbaâ - Magra