Match Info
Stars League - Round 20Date: 23 March 2026, MondayLocation: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports |
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Arbil |
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Diyala |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.92 |
3 |
3.85 |
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 |
1.86 |
3.22 |
3.88 |
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1.85 |
3.3 |
3.99 |
 Watch |
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1.85 |
3 |
3.9 |
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1.76 |
3.36 |
4.27 |
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1.96 |
2.71 |
3.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(2.1) |
3.1 ↑
(3.03) |
3.87 ↑
(3.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arbil
48% | Draw
28.9% | Diyala
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+2.6%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arbil will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 2 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Arbil will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Erbil | 35 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 52:30 | 22 | 70 |
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| 11 | Diyala | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39:41 | -2 | 46 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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