Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Arcángel San Miguel		San Bartolomé

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.35	3.55
	1.95	3.44	3.57
	11.05	6.74	1.19	Watch
	1.97	3.62	3.52
	2.04	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (2.02)	4.08 ↑ (3.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arcángel San Miguel
31.5%

Draw
29.2%

San Bartolomé
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

23.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arcángel San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arcángel San Miguel's form might have worsened.

San Bartolomé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Bartolomé's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arcángel San Miguel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Bartolomé, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arcángel San Miguel - San Bartolomé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

San Miguel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Bartolomé has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

San Bartolomé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Miguel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, San Miguel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
09.11.25	UD San Fernando - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Arucas	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Villa de Santa Brígida - Arcángel San Miguel	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:4 ✺
11.10.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTLT
- San Bartolomé CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
02.11.25	Tenisca - San Bartolomé	7:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tamaraceite - San Bartolomé	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	San Bartolomé - Herbania	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Las Palmas C - San Bartolomé	6:1 ✺
27.09.25	San Bartolomé - Panadería Pulido	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.04.25	Arcángel San Miguel - San Bartolomé	0:0
14.12.24	San Bartolomé - Arcángel San Miguel	4:0

Arcángel San Miguel - San Bartolomé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide