Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA EAST - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Ardagger		TWL Elektra

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.49	3.39	2.54
	2.49	3.39	2.54
	2.48	3.35	2.5
	2.55	3.3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.94)	3.35 ↓ (3.41)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ardagger
36.3%

Draw
27.1%

TWL Elektra
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.1%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardagger's performance.

TWL Elektra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TWL Elektra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardagger than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardagger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWL Elektra than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TWL Elektra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardagger - TWL Elektra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Recent matches Ardagger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

TWL Elektra is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ardagger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Ardagger
Austrian Regionalliga East
27.10.23	Austria Wien II - Ardagger	3:0 ✺
20.10.23	Ardagger - Draßburg	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Donaufeld Wien - Ardagger	3:0 ✺
06.10.23	Ardagger - Kremser	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	Oberwart - Ardagger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWL
- TWL Elektra
Austrian Regionalliga East
28.10.23	TWL Elektra - Mauerwerk	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	Austria Wien II - TWL Elektra	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Draßburg - TWL Elektra	1:2 ✺
29.09.23	TWL Elektra - Rapid Wien II	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Donaufeld Wien - TWL Elektra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLL

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