Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Anguiano

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.55	3.6	6.5
	1.55	3.58	6.23
	1.54	3.57	6.24
	1.55	3.66	6.1
	1.52	3.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.81)	3.59 ↑ (3.34)	6.14 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
59.4%

Draw
25.6%

Anguiano
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.2%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.

Anguiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anguiano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anguiano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Anguiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Collado U. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Imanol Barce ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 2 - 1, Collado U. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Arenas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Anguiano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arenas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Teruel	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	SD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Calahorra	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Utebo - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Urduliz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWLW
- CD Anguiano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.09.24	Anguiano - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Calahorra - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Anguiano - Utebo	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Eibar B - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.24	La Calzada - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWLL

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