Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Real Sociedad C

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.3	8.2
	1.36	4.43	10.47
	1.44	4.31	7
	1.34	4.3	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.41)	4.34 ↑ (4)	8.47 ↑ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
67.7%

Draw
21.4%

Real Sociedad C
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

22.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

13.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Sociedad C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-29.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad C than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad C could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 0, Collado U. ⚽,
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arenas won 2.

Recent matches Arenas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Sociedad C has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arenas is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arenas won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.02.25	Subiza - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Anguiano - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Teruel - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - SD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL
- Real Sociedad C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
23.02.25	Real Sociedad C - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Calahorra - Real Sociedad C	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Sociedad C - Utebo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Eibar B - Real Sociedad C	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Real Sociedad C - Tudelano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
19.10.24	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
18.02.24	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:2
07.10.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C	0:2
12.02.23	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1
24.09.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C	1:0
09.04.22	Real Sociedad C - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0
21.11.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Real Sociedad C	0:1

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