Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Arendal		Sandnes Ulf

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.1
	2.60	3.60	2.15
	2.9	3.6	2.15
	2.9	3.59	2.21
	2.63	3.72	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.18
	2.95	3.59	2.16
	2.75	3.6	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.69)	3.59 ↓ (3.72)	2.16 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
32.4%

Draw
25.4%

Sandnes Ulf
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

24.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sandnes Ulf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandnes Ulf than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Arendal - Sandnes Ulf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 0 - 1, Sundberg M. ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, Nyhagen A. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Suggelia H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 0.

Arendal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sandnes Ulf has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arendal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2.7:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bjarg - Arendal	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arendal - Lysekloster	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Vidar - Arendal	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Arendal - Pors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Sandnes Ulf
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.26	Strømsgodset - Sandnes Ulf	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sandnes Ulf - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Raufoss - Sandnes Ulf	0:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
26.08.26	Varhaug - Sandnes Ulf	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
22.08.26	Sandnes Ulf - Bryne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.10.25	Sandnes Ulf - Arendal	4:1
05.04.25	Arendal - Sandnes Ulf	3:3
Club Friendly
15.03.25	Sandnes Ulf - Arendal	2:2
18.02.23	Sandnes Ulf - Arendal	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.10.17	Sandnes Ulf - Arendal	2:2
04.07.17	Arendal - Sandnes Ulf	2:3
Club Friendly
18.02.17	Sandnes Ulf - Arendal	1:1

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