Match Info

NORWAY: Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Ørn-Horten

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.87	4.71
	1.68	3.75	4.76
	1.67	4	3.75
	1.65	3.93	4.51
	1.64	4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.76)	3.91 ↓ (3.94)	4.37 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
55.4%

Draw
23.5%

Ørn-Horten
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ørn-Horten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ørn-Horten than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arendal - Ørn Horten Predictions

Users Predictions: Arendal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 11. Alemseged A. 5. Andersen S. 4. Bergan V. 16. Helgesen E. 2. Hultqvist D. (C) 10. Kvinge M. 3. Lereng E. 13. Maric A. 23. Ness T. 7. Williams J.	1. Solberg K. (G) 4. Forsund A. (C) 17. Hargott C. 11. Helling G. 10. Kadriu A. 8. Knutsen T. 2. Nilsen S. 5. Pop S. 3. Riise N. 9. Rogulj A. 24. Schie P.
Substitutes
20. Basic A. 14. Haga M. 19. Ibishi D. 26. Jacobsen M. 9. Lille-Lovo S. 17. Nersveen P. 6. Pllana R. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G)	25. Bamenye F. 19. Hamde D. 18. Nilsen N. 12. Skretteberg D. N. (G) 27. Skulstad-Hansen E. 26. Sorensen L. 23. Wivestad S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Knutsen T. 🟨,
34', Kvinge M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Lereng E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 0, Maric A. ⚽,
70', Helling G. ↓, Hamde D. ↑,
70', Hargott C. ↓, Skulstad-Hansen E. ↑,
79', Alemseged A. ↓, Lille-Lovo S. ↑,
79', Maric A. ↓, Nersveen P. ↑,
85', Schie P. ↓, Wivestad S. ↑,
90+2', Kvinge M. ↓, Haga M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arendal won 4.

Arendal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ørn-Horten is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ørn-Horten could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Arendal have a series of guest games.

Recently Ørn-Horten have a series of home games.

In this match Arendal is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arendal to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arendal won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Fram Larvik - Arendal	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.04.24	Lysekloster - Arendal	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Arendal - Flekkerøy	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	IL Express - Arendal	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.24	Vard Haugesund - Arendal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Ørn-Horten
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
22.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brann 2	2:3 ✺
13.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Brattvåg	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
10.04.24	Ørn-Horten - Mjøndalen	0:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
06.04.24	Jerv - Ørn-Horten	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.24	Ørn-Horten - Åskollen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.09.23	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	1:3
04.06.23	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	3:0
13.08.22	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	3:2
25.06.22	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	8:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
01.10.16	Arendal - Ørn-Horten	6:1
12.06.16	Ørn-Horten - Arendal	0:3

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