Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday


	Argentinos Juniors 2		Independiente Rivadavia 2

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.6	3.45	5.6
	1.61	3.48	5.55	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.58	3.44	5.69
	1.6	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	5.12 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors 2
55.3%

Draw
26.8%

Independiente Rivadavia 2
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.2%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

24.8%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentinos Juniors 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Rivadavia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentinos Juniors 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Kida R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 15).

The competitors look crappy now.

Independiente R 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Argentinos Juniors 2 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.03.25	Racing Club 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
18.03.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:0 ✺
05.03.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Platense 2	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Tigre 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTT
- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
26.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Tigre 2	1:0 ✺
19.03.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
04.03.25	Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0 ✺
25.02.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Barracas Central 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.10.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:1
25.04.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:1

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