Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Belgrano 2		Independiente Rivadavia 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.15
	2.16	3.15	3.45
	2.14	3.13	3.33	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.25
	2.11	3.02	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.8)	3.05 ↓ (3.27)	3.31 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgrano 2
42.7%

Draw
29.8%

Independiente Rivadavia 2
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

28.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

27.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belgrano 2's form might have worsened.

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Rivadavia 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Rivadavia 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Independiente R 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Belgrano 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Belgrano 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Belgrano 2 - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Belgrano 2	2:4 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
07.04.26	Belgrano 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Belgrano 2 - Lanús 2	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL
- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.26	Gimnasia Mendoza 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Lanús 2	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:3 ✺
26.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
31.07.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3
04.03.25	Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0
31.10.24	Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	5:1
29.05.24	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Belgrano 2	1:3

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