Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday


	Ariana		Marsa

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.48	2.95	2.8
	2.41	3.1	2.71
	2.45	3.07	2.82
	2	3	3.6
	2.45	2.92	2.78
	2.48	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.02)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.89 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
38.2%

Draw
30.4%

Marsa
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

30.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.4%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ariana's form might have worsened.

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ariana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ariana - Marsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Karoui O. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Louhichi A. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Baldi K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
23.11.24	Ariana - Radès	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Hammam-Lif - Ariana	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Ariana - Msaken	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Kalaâ - Ariana	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	Ariana - El Makarem de Mahdia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLL
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
30.11.24	Marsa - Mégrine	2:2 ✺
16.11.24	Marsa - Hammam-Sousse	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Marsa - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Hammam-Lif - Marsa	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Oued Ellil - Marsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
05.01.19	Marsa - Ariana	2:0

Ariana - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide