Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Aris Petroupolis		Diagoras

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.42	3.8
	1.99	2.77	4.21
	1.87	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.41)	2.78 ↓ (3.95)	4.04 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris Petroupolis
44.6%

Draw
32.8%

Diagoras
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

23.1%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

21.9%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris Petroupolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aris Petroupolis's form might have worsened.

Diagoras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diagoras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Petroupolis than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aris Petroupolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diagoras than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diagoras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aris Petroupolis - Diagoras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Winners stage: )).

Aris Petroupolis is Qualified for Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Winners stage )

Aris Petroupolis is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Diagoras has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aris Petroupolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aris Petroupolis is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Aris Petroupolis will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aris Petroupolis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Petroupolis
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
14.02.26	Apollon Kalythion - Aris Petroupolis	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Aris Petroupolis - Nea Artaki	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Afantou - Aris Petroupolis	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Aris Petroupolis - Karystou	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nea Ionia - Aris Petroupolis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTTWW
- Diagoras FC
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
15.02.26	Diagoras - Amarynthiakos	3:1 ✺
06.02.26	Doxa Vyronas - Diagoras	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Apollon Kalythion - Diagoras	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Diagoras - Nea Artaki	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Diagoras - Afantou	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
22.11.25	Diagoras - Aris Petroupolis	0:0

Aris Petroupolis - Diagoras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide