Match Info

NPL Western Australia - Round 4

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Alfred Skeet Reserve (Perth)


	Armadale		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.18	3.75	2.58	Watch
	2.33	4.2	2.64
	3.13	1.54	9.54	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.5
	2.11	4.05	2.63	Watch
	2.46	3.71	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	3.55 ↓ (3.74)	3.54 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armadale
42.8%

Draw
28.6%

Sorrento
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

24%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

23.7%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armadale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Armadale's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorrento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armadale than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Armadale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Armadale - Sorrento Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Armadale will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Armadale (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 in the zone NPL Western Australia (Relegation) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Armadale won 4.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sorrento has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Armadale won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 2.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Armadale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armadale SC
Australian NPL Western Australia
14.03.26	Perth SC - Armadale	6:5 ✺
06.03.26	Bayswater City - Armadale	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Armadale - Western Knights	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
06.02.26	Armadale - Bayswater City	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Fremantle City - Armadale	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTL
- Sorrento FC Perth
Australian NPL Western Australia
14.03.26	Sorrento - Dianella White Eagles	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Sorrento - Stirling Macedonia	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Sorrento - Perth Glory U23	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.26	Olympic Kingsway - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Sorrento - Balcatta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
09.08.25	Armadale - Sorrento	4:2
07.06.25	Sorrento - Armadale	1:5
26.08.23	Sorrento - Armadale	1:5
03.06.23	Armadale - Sorrento	2:3
18.06.22	Armadale - Sorrento	3:0
26.03.22	Sorrento - Armadale	5:1
03.07.21	Sorrento - Armadale	1:2

Armadale - Sorrento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide