Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Armadale		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	4.1	1.9
	2.95	3.9	1.89	Watch
	3.3	3.95	1.81
	3.38	4.45	1.81
	3.5	3.75	1.85
	3.54	4.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)	4.07 ↑ (3.96)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armadale
28%

Draw
22.5%

Sorrento
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

18.9%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armadale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armadale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Armadale - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Armadale is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sorrento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sorrento will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Armadale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Armadale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armadale SC
Australian NPL Western Australia
19.09.20	Armadale - Floreat Athena	1:2 ✺
16.09.20	Cockburn City - Armadale	4:1 ✺
12.09.20	Perth RedStar - Armadale	6:0 ✺
05.09.20	Cockburn City - Armadale	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Armadale - Perth Glory Youth	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Sorrento FC
Australian NPL Western Australia
19.09.20	Sorrento - Cockburn City	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Sorrento - Gwelup Croatia	0:5 ✺
12.09.20	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	Perth SC - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Floreat Athena - Sorrento	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Western Australia
22.08.20	Sorrento - Armadale	4:2
24.08.19	Sorrento - Armadale	0:1
25.05.19	Armadale - Sorrento	2:3
18.08.18	Sorrento - Armadale	3:1
05.05.18	Armadale - Sorrento	2:1
17.06.17	Sorrento - Armadale	0:0
11.03.17	Armadale - Sorrento	1:5

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