Match Info

GFA League - Round 19

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Armed Forces		Bombada

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.9	1.82
				Watch
	2.79	2.69	2.79	Watch
	2.74	2.62	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.4)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	2.46 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armed Forces
28.1%

Draw
34%

Bombada
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

33.6%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

35.1%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armed Forces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armed Forces's form might have worsened.

Bombada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bombada's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armed Forces than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Armed Forces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bombada than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bombada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Armed Forces - Bombada Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bombada (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bombada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

Armed Forces is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bombada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Armed Forces could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Armed Forces will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Armed Forces won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Armed Forces won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armed Forces FC
Gambian GFA League
04.04.25	Hart Academy - Armed Forces	1:0 ✺
21.03.25	Team Rhino - Armed Forces	0:1 ✺
14.03.25	Bombada - Armed Forces	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Armed Forces - Greater Tomorrow	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Armed Forces - Brikama United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Bombada FC
Gambian GFA League
05.04.25	Bombada - Greater Tomorrow	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Bombada - Steve Biko	1:1 ✺
24.03.25	TMT - Bombada	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Bombada - Armed Forces	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Real Banjul - Bombada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
14.03.25	Bombada - Armed Forces	2:1
26.01.24	Armed Forces - Bombada	4:1
26.03.18	Armed Forces - Bombada	2:0

Armed Forces - Bombada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide