Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Arminia Ludwigshafen		Cosmos Koblenz

	1	X	2
	2.95	4.33	1.9
	2.98	4.46	1.95
	2.99	4.11	1.99
	2.95	4.33	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.2)	4.31 ↑ (4.2)	1.94 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Ludwigshafen
31%

Draw
21.4%

Cosmos Koblenz
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

21.3%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arminia Ludwigshafen's form might have worsened.

Cosmos Koblenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cosmos Koblenz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arminia Ludwigshafen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cosmos Koblenz than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cosmos Koblenz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arminia Ludwigshafen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cosmos Koblenz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cosmos Koblenz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cosmos Koblenz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arminia Ludwigshafen won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Ludwigshafen
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
30.04.24	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Arminia Ludwigshafen	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Alemannia Waldalgesheim	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Engers - Arminia Ludwigshafen	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Morlautern - Arminia Ludwigshafen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTWL
- Cosmos Koblenz
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
01.05.24	Cosmos Koblenz - Diefflen	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	Auersmacher - Cosmos Koblenz	0:4 ✺
21.04.24	Cosmos Koblenz - Pirmasens	3:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dudenhofen - Cosmos Koblenz	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Cosmos Koblenz - Karbach	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
08.10.23	Cosmos Koblenz - Arminia Ludwigshafen	1:2

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