Match Info

NORWAY: Toppserien Women - Round 23

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Arna Idrettspark (Indre Arna)

Referee: Hatletvedt M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Arna-Bjørnar		Røa

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.01	3.48	2.21
	3.04	3.54	2.1	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.15
	2.97	3.34	2.16
	3	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3)	3.32 ↓ (3.79)	2.18 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arna-Bjørnar
30.9%

Draw
27.4%

Røa
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

23.8%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arna-Bjørnar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Røa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arna-Bjørnar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Røa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Arna Bjørnar - Røa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Larsen H. (G) 27. Tangen V. 23. Mjelde M. (C) 13. Andresen M. 25. Fedoy M. 18. Nigardsoy A. 10. Laupstad L. 17. Lekven S. 19. Saelen L. 9. Veglo V. 7. Vedeler V.	25. Saevik H. (G) 15. Svendsen M. 2. Ellingsen H. 3. Suphellen S. (C) 30. De Courcy O. 22. Folland M. 17. Ulstein E. 7. Fuglem O. 18. Engas S. 9. Klaeboe J. 23. Nyhagen M.
Substitutes
1. Berge B. (G) 16. Dalsgard M. 21. Henden O. 14. Henschien A. 2. Muhic S. 3. Skala A. 5. Stenersen H.	12. Grotting I. (G) 41. Hirwa M. 4. Masdal S. 5. Nordin S. 19. Rosenlund K.
Coaches
Mjelde E.	Nordby G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tangen V. ↓, Dalsgard M. ↑,
56', Folland M. ↓, Nordin S. ↑,
74', Vedeler V. ↓, Muhic S. ↑,
84', Veglo V. ↓, Henschien A. ↑,
90+2', Suphellen S. ↓, Masdal S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arna-Bjørnar won 1.

Recent matches Arna-Bjørnar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Røa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arna-Bjørnar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Røa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Arna-Bjørnar won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:32 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Arna-Bjørnar won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arna-Bjørnar Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
05.10.24	Stabæk - Arna-Bjørnar	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Arna-Bjørnar - Åsane	1:1 ✺
12.09.24	Rosenborg - Arna-Bjørnar	3:0 ✺
08.09.24	Arna-Bjørnar - Kolbotn	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Stabæk - Arna-Bjørnar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 TTLLW
- Røa IL Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
05.10.24	Røa - Kolbotn	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Cup Women
28.09.24	Røa - Rosenborg	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
21.09.24	Brann - Røa	4:0 ✺
11.09.24	Røa - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	LSK Kvinner - Røa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
15.06.24	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	0:1
04.05.24	Røa - Arna-Bjørnar	4:0
09.09.23	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	3:0
03.06.23	Røa - Arna-Bjørnar	4:1
14.05.23	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	1:1
25.09.22	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	3:0
18.06.22	Arna-Bjørnar - Røa	2:1

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