The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arna-Bjørnar 29.8%
Draw 26.8%
Lyn 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.7%
26.1%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
25.3%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arna-Bjørnar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Arna-Bjørnar aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Arna Bjørnar - Lyn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Larsen H. (G) 25. Fedoy M. 23. Mjelde M. (C) 13. Andresen M. 19. Saelen L. 18. Nigardsoy A. 8. Noss N. 10. Laupstad L. 17. Lekven S. 7. Vedeler V. 9. Veglo V.
1. Odden K. (C) 3. Fink M. 4. Jensen T. 8. Palm A. 18. Tomren S. 14. Fladberg C. 16. Inauen N. 19. Birkelund J. 28. Galteland L. 10. Reeves J. 23. Holmen K.
Substitutes
1. Berge B. (G) 16. Dalsgard M. 14. Henschien A. 2. Muhic S. 5. Stenersen H. 27. Tangen V.
5. Asboll V. 31. Castberg A. 7. Closs E. 22. Habbestad I. 6. Hernes S. 24. Langkas U. (G) 27. Melgard M.
Coaches
Mjelde E.
Dragsten J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Vedeler V. ⚽, Laupstad L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Fink M. ↓, Closs E. ↑,
62', Noss N. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Galteland L. ⚽,
75', Vedeler V. ↓, Henschien A. ↑,
80', Galteland L. ↓, Habbestad I. ↑,
82', Laupstad L. 🟨,
84', Veglo V. ↓, Dalsgard M. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Arna-Bjørnar won 0.
Recent matches Arna-Bjørnar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Lyn is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lyn will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Arna-Bjørnar won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.6:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Arna-Bjørnar won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).