Match Info

MONTENEGRO: Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion u Parku (Tivat)

Referee: Cvijovic N. (Mne)


	Arsenal Tivat		Rudar Pljevlja

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.55	3.5	6
	1.59	3.58	5.83
	1.6	3.58	5.83
	1.51	3.5	6.75
	1.5	3.45	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.93)	3.48 ↑ (3)	5.84 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tivat
58.1%

Draw
26.3%

Rudar Pljevlja
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

23.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tivat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Tivat's performance.

Rudar Pljevlja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rudar Pljevlja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Tivat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rudar Pljevlja than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rudar Pljevlja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zogovic B. (G) 28. Cetkovic A. 21. Dakic D. 9. Kordic S. 16. Manojlovic C. (C) 13. Maras L. 99. Merdovic M. 11. Montenegro J. 14. Mugosa D. 27. Obradovic O. 8. Sahman I.	31. Radanovic B. (G) 23. Appiah B. 25. Bogdanovic P. 2. Bulatovic A. 15. Cepic A. 21. Golubovic A. 8. Knezevic L. 5. Muratovic A. 20. Okamoto I. 22. Uksanovic N. 10. Zecevic M. (C)
Substitutes
29. Cavor M. 6. Kascelan V. 17. Kort D. 22. Milic N. 10. Mirkovic J. 25. Nikac D. 31. Pejovic N. (G) 23. Tucevic I. 26. Zivkovic R.	55. Becovic S. (G) 9. Golubovic S. 98. Kasalica O. 17. Muhovic J. 19. Popovic S. 6. Pupovic A.
Coaches
Savovic M.	Vlaisavljevic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bulatovic A. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Maras L. ⚽,
27', Muratovic A. 🟨,
31', 2 - 1, Kordic S. ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Maras L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Mugosa D. 🟨,
57', Knezevic L. ↓, Golubovic S. ↑,
57', Zecevic M. ↓, Popovic S. ↑,
63', Kordic S. ↓, Nikac D. ↑,
64', Mugosa D. ↓, Cavor M. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Appiah B. (Pen),
77', Cavor M. 🟨,
79', Maras L. ↓, Milic N. ↑,
79', Merdovic M. ↓, Zivkovic R. ↑,
80', Golubovic S. ↓, Muhovic J. ↑,
82', 🟨,
87', Muratovic A. ↓, Kasalica O. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Milic N. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Tivat won 3.

Recent matches Arsenal Tivat is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rudar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arsenal Tivat is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Arsenal Tivat won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Tivat won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
30.03.24	Arsenal Tivat - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Mladost Donja Gorica - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Arsenal Tivat - Petrovac	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Budućnost Podgorica - Arsenal Tivat	6:0 ✺
03.03.24	Arsenal Tivat - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLT
- Rudar Pljevlja
Montenegrin First League
30.03.24	Sutjeska - Rudar Pljevlja	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Jezero	0:1 ✺
13.03.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Mornar Bar	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Dečić Tuzi - Rudar Pljevlja	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Rudar Pljevlja - Mladost Donja Gorica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
09.12.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Arsenal Tivat	2:0
27.09.23	Arsenal Tivat - Rudar Pljevlja	2:0
23.07.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Arsenal Tivat	0:1
21.05.23	Rudar Pljevlja - Arsenal Tivat	1:2
18.03.23	Arsenal Tivat - Rudar Pljevlja	0:1
26.11.22	Rudar Pljevlja - Arsenal Tivat	0:0
11.09.22	Arsenal Tivat - Rudar Pljevlja	0:2

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