Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Novy Bor Football Stadium (Novy Bor)


	Arsenal Česká Lípa		Sparta Kolín

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.75
	1.41	4.45	5.7
	1.21	5.69	10.91
	1.39	4.6	6.2
	1.25	5.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)	4.85 ↑ (4.4)	7.07 ↑ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Česká Lípa
68.3%

Draw
18.8%

Sparta Kolín
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

20.7%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Česká Lípa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Česká Lípa's performance.

Sparta Kolín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Česká Lípa than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Kolín than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sparta Kolín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Fendrich V. (G) 3. Alhassan U. 11. Dufek L. 77. Knejzlik K. 21. Kubista M. 9. Novotny J. 14. Ondracek A. 19. Simon M. (C) 15. Skoda J. 10. Vit M. 24. Vostrel J.	1. Benada A. (G) 6. Houha K. 9. Kubes M. 23. Musil M. 16. Pelyak D. 18. Sixta D. 12. Sladek M. 10. Sodoma J. (C) 4. Soukup M. 21. Spevak M. 15. Suryn M.
Substitutes
13. Matousek J. 1. Novak R. (G) 17. Usman H. 16. Vlk M. 5. Wendler J. 18. Wexler S. 26. Zizka M.	19. Fejfar O. (G) 7. Hodac M. 13. Lorenc F. 11. Setka J. 17. Szitas P. 28. Tichy M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Česká Lípa won 2.

Česká Lípa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kolín's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kolín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Česká Lípa is the clear favorite.

We predict that Česká Lípa will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Česká Lípa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Česká Lípa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Česká Lípa
Czech CFL Group B
27.09.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Jablonec B	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Slovan Liberec B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	1:2 ✺
10.09.25	Zápy - Arsenal Česká Lípa	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Velké Hamry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- FK Sparta Kolín
Czech CFL Group B
27.09.25	Sparta Kolín - Zápy	2:3 ✺
18.09.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Sparta Kolín	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sparta Kolín - Pardubice B	2:2 ✺
10.09.25	Varnsdorf - Sparta Kolín	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Jablonec B - Sparta Kolín	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Czech CFL Group B
03.05.25	Sparta Kolín - Arsenal Česká Lípa	1:1
05.10.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sparta Kolín	2:1
Czech Cup
20.08.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sparta Kolín	2:0
Czech CFL Group B
09.03.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sparta Kolín	1:1
11.08.23	Sparta Kolín - Arsenal Česká Lípa	3:0
Czech Cup
15.07.17	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sparta Kolín	1:3

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