Match Info

3. CFL - Group B - Round 34

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Novy Bor Football Stadium (Novy Bor)


	Arsenal Česká Lípa		Zápy

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.82	3.55	3.6
	1.84	3.7	3.73
	1.76	3.77	3.85	Watch
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.71	3.72	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.58)	3.64 ↓ (3.95)	3.85 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Česká Lípa
51.7%

Draw
24.9%

Zápy
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

22.8%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Česká Lípa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Česká Lípa's form might have worsened.

Zápy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Česká Lípa than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Česká Lípa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zápy than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Arsenal Česká Lípa - Zápy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Zápy (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zápy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Novak R. (G) 3. Alhassan U. 26. Dudl V. 11. Dufek L. 7. Haitl P. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. 9. Novotny J. 14. Ondracek A. 19. Simon M. (C) 10. Vit M.	1. Rehak J. (G) 16. Farkas D. 20. Kocourek O. 9. Kuchar T. 12. Marco Tulio 10. Matejka T. (C) 14. Petrak O. 18. Petrlak M. 5. Stropek D. 6. Sulc J. 15. Woitek L.
Substitutes
6. Cervenka M. 33. Fendrich V. (G) 13. Matousek J. 2. Onije C. 15. Skoda J. 16. Vlk M. 24. Vostrel J.	8. Bodnar M. 3. Fiser E. 7. Kohout A. 21. Michalek J. 28. Nevecny V. (G) 13. Steiner J. 19. Vesely L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Simon M. ⚽,
27', Stropek D. 🟨,
31', Simon M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Matejka T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vit M. ↓, Vostrel J. ↑,
54', Novotny J. ↓, Cervenka M. ↑,
60', Matejka T. 🟨,
63', Matejka T. ↓, Michalek J. ↑,
69', Dufek L. ↓, Vlk M. ↑,
69', Haitl P. ↓, Skoda J. ↑,
74', Kubista M. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. CFL ~ Play Offs (Play Offs: ) and 2).

Česká Lípa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Zápy is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Česká Lípa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zápy has had a series of home games.

In this match, Česká Lípa is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Česká Lípa will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Česká Lípa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Česká Lípa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zapy	9	6	3	0	23:10	13	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Česká Lípa
Czech CFL Group B
16.05.26	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Baník Most-Souš	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hradec Kralove B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	2:3 ✺
06.05.26	Pardubice B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Sparta Kolín - Arsenal Česká Lípa	1:5 ✺
25.04.26	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Mladá Boleslav B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- SK Zápy
Czech CFL Group B
10.05.26	Zápy - Neratovice–Byškovice	3:1 ✺
06.05.26	Zápy - Mladá Boleslav B	4:0 ✺
03.05.26	Sokol Brozany - Zápy	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Zápy - Sparta Kolín	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Zápy - Pardubice B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech CFL Group B
10.09.25	Zápy - Arsenal Česká Lípa	3:2
09.03.25	Zápy - Arsenal Česká Lípa	0:2
10.08.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Zápy	2:3
06.04.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Zápy	1:1
10.09.23	Zápy - Arsenal Česká Lípa	2:0

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