Match Info

1. MFL - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Arsimi		Struga

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.6	1.88
	3.33	3.49	1.85
	3.44	3.7	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (3.42)	3.6 ↑ (3.36)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsimi
26.7%

Draw
25.1%

Struga
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

26.8%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

23.2%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsimi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Struga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Struga than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Struga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsimi - Struga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Islami V. (C) 3. Avduli X. 88. Besagic A. 6. Cuculi A. 16. Dardhishta M. 10. Gafuri A. 5. Goni M. 17. Olatunbosun S. 11. Ramadani A. 7. Selmani R. 23. Velija B.	1. Angeletti M. (G) 10. Bojku B. 17. Fall P. 27. Hamza M. 29. Maleski H. 6. Mici G. 14. Radeski M. 2. Rochi A. 13. Rochi F. 11. Shabani B. (C) 8. Zendelovski A.
Substitutes
33. Abdulla X. 18. Alii R. 21. Aliti A. 9. Bayo F. 2. Dzemaili S. 20. Huric M. 12. Ismaili A. (G) 15. Jusufi F. 4. Mustafa S. 8. Redjepi B. 99. Siljanovski D. (G)	20. Aliji A. 33. Compaore B. 22. Demishoski T. 94. Diako L. 5. Ilievski B. 45. Jevtoski S. 77. Kocoski V. 88. Mazoulouxis K. 44. Vasilev V. (G) 7. Vosha A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Zendelovski A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rochi F. ↓, Ilievski B. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Besagic A. ⚽,
58', Islami V. ↓, Siljanovski D. ↑,
60', Shabani B. ↓, Jevtoski S. ↑,
63', Olatunbosun S. ↓, Huric M. ↑,
63', Ramadani A. ↓, Jusufi F. ↑,
72', Fall P. ↓, Kocoski V. ↑,
72', Zendelovski A. ↓, Mazoulouxis K. ↑,
75', Huric M. ↓, Redjepi B. ↑,
75', Goni M. ↓, Alii R. ↑,
90+3', Redjepi B. 🟨,
90+4', Rochi A. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Arsimi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Struga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Struga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Struga	8	5	2	1	19:5	14	17
8	Arsimi	8	2	2	4	6:19	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.05.26	Sileks - Arsimi	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Arsimi - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Tikveš - Arsimi	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Arsimi - Shkupi	5:1 ✺
19.04.26	Rabotnički - Arsimi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WTTWL
- FC Struga
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.05.26	Struga - Vardar	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Struga	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Struga - AP Brera Strumica	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	Struga - Sileks	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Struga	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.11.25	Struga - Arsimi	4:0
15.08.25	Arsimi - Struga	1:2

Arsimi - Struga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide