Match Info

CONCACAF Nations League - League C

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sir Vivian Richards Stadium (St. John's)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Concacaf GO, Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2


	Aruba		Antigua and Barbuda

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.75	3.50	Watch
	1.83	3.50	3.50
	1.93	3.45	3.25	Watch
	1.89	3.74	3.58
	1.86	3.82	3.48
	1.81	3.75	3.40
	1.86	3.88	3.63	Watch
	1.85	3.65	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (3.03)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	3.48 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aruba
49.1%

Draw
24.7%

Antigua and Barbuda
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

25.1%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aruba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aruba's performance.

Antigua and Barbuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antigua and Barbuda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Aruba - Antigua and Barbuda Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aruba will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Antigua will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antigua: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Antigua (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Antigua (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Antigua and Barbuda will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Aruba (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Antigua (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lentink M. (G) VV Kloetinge 3. Luydens D. Prespa Birlik 4. Martis B. (C) Lisse 6. Ostiana R. 7. Robertha G. IJsselmeervogels 8. Bennett W. Sportclub Feyenoord 9. Fermina C. Alghero 10. Romano J. 13. Gijsbertha T. Rohda Raalte 16. Mercera A. Rijnvogels 22. Breinburg R. Feyenoord	21. Dorsette S. (G) 2. Daley A. (C) Birmingham Legion 5. Isaac K. 8. Tomlinson S. Lorca Deportiva 17. Graham L. 10. Bramble T. J. E. Welling 14. O'Garro J. 11. Griffith Q. Grenades 13. Nathaniel-George A. Worthing FC 9. Pereira D. Crawley Town 20. Douglas C. Appalachian FC
Substitutes
15. Curiel G. Prishtina 20. Figaroa J. 14. Frans E. 19. Jimenez J. 17. Kruydenhof J. AFC 18. Maduro J. (G) River Plate 21. Molina M. Jong Willem 5. Nedd K. VV Zwaluwen 2. Nickelson P. 12. Peterson J. 23. Zwaan J. (G)	23. 22.9.2008 4. Barthley D. 19. Bishop D. Belisce 3. Cordice R. 7. Deterville R. All Saints United 16. George K. 22. Greene K. Pigotts Bullets 6. Hughes T. Villa Lions 12. Knight S. Swetes 15. Massicot D. Cavalier 1. Moore T. (G) 18. Scott Z. (G)
Coaches
Bermudez M.	Kahn J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Graham L. ↓, Massicot D. ↑,
49', Bramble T. J. E. 🟨,
55', Martis B. 🟨,
58', Nathaniel-George A. ↓, George K. ↑,
58', O'Garro J. ↓, Jackson V. ↑,
64', Douglas C. ↓, Bishop D. ↑,
68', Romano J. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
68', Mercera A. ↓, Kruydenhof J. ↑,
68', Gijsbertha T. ↓, Curiel G. ↑,
71', Isaac K. 🟨,
77', Pereira D. ↓, Deterville R. ↑,
85', Robertha G. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Molina M. ⚽,

Preview

Aruba is ranked FIFA: 189., and Antigua is ranked FIFA: 162..

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Aruba has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aruba
Friendly
06.06.26	Curaçao - Aruba	4:0 ✺
FIFA Series
29.03.26	Aruba - Liechtenstein	4:1 ✺
26.03.26	Aruba - Macau	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Series
15.11.25	Barbados - Aruba	0:3 ✺
12.11.25	Antigua and Barbuda - Aruba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWT
- Antigua and Barbuda
CONCACAF Series
18.11.25	Antigua and Barbuda - Guyana	1:4 ✺
12.11.25	Antigua and Barbuda - Aruba	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Honduras - Antigua and Barbuda	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Antigua and Barbuda - Cuba	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
19.11.24	Antigua and Barbuda - Dominica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Series
12.11.25	Antigua and Barbuda - Aruba	0:0
CONCACAF Nations League
18.11.19	Aruba - Antigua and Barbuda	2:3
09.09.19	Antigua and Barbuda - Aruba	2:1

Aruba - Antigua and Barbuda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide