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Current Win Probability
Arzachena 36.4%
Draw 31%
Nuova Florida 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
30.5%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
22.6%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arzachena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Nuova Florida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arzachena that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Florida than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuova Florida could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arzachena - Nuova Florida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Arzachena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nuova Florida is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Nuova Florida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.