Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Arzew		El Kerma

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.5
	2.01	2.95	3.45
	2.13	3.1	3.78
	2	3.1	3.75
	2.03	3.26	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.24)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	3.59 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzew
44.9%

Draw
29.8%

El Kerma
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

21.6%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

El Kerma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzew than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arzew that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Kerma than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Kerma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arzew - El Kerma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Arzew is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Kerma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Kerma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arzew will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arzew won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OM Arzew
Algerian Ligue 2
08.05.21	ASM Oran - Arzew	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Arzew - Saïda	2:2 ✺
17.04.21	Arzew - Oued Sly	2:2 ✺
08.04.21	Arzew - JSM Tiaret	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	Témouchent - Arzew	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTLL
- IRB El Kerma
Algerian Ligue 2
01.05.21	El Kerma - Oued Sly	0:1 ✺
24.04.21	Témouchent - El Kerma	2:1 ✺
17.04.21	El Kerma - Ain Ouessara	1:1 ✺
08.04.21	El Kerma - SC Aïn Defla	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	ASM Oran - El Kerma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 2
11.03.21	El Kerma - Arzew	2:2

Arzew - El Kerma

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arzew - El Kerma Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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