Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Ascó		Vilafranca

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.75	2.1
	3.3	2.8	2.05
	3.15	2.8	2.21
	3.23	2.69	2.32
	2.8	3.06	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (4.72)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	2.23 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascó
28%

Draw
31.8%

Vilafranca
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

29.4%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

27%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ascó's performance.

Vilafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilafranca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascó than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ascó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilafranca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascó - Vilafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Ascó is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilafranca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vilafranca is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascó won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascó won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ascó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.03.22	Castelldefels - Ascó	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Ascó - Olot	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Vilassar de Mar - Ascó	3:0 ✺
19.02.22	Ascó - UE Sants	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Sant Andreu - Ascó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWLLL
- FC Vilafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.03.22	Vilafranca - Grama	0:3 ✺
06.03.22	San Cristóbal - Vilafranca	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Vilafranca - Pobla de Mafumet	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Vilafranca - Manresa	0:4 ✺
06.02.22	Figueres - Vilafranca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
13.11.21	Vilafranca - Ascó	2:0
24.02.19	Vilafranca - Ascó	1:0
29.09.18	Ascó - Vilafranca	0:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
25.02.18	Vilafranca - Ascó	0:0
30.09.17	Ascó - Vilafranca	2:1

Ascó - Vilafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide