The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ascoli U19 40.6%
Draw 24.2%
Pisa U19 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
23.8%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
24.3%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The chances for Pisa U19 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli U19 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa U19 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli U19 won 3.
Recent performances by Ascoli U19 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pisa U19 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ascoli U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ascoli U19 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli U19 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.5:0.7).