Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	2.12	3.55	2.78
	2.15	3.8	2.65
	2.56	2.89	2.96	Watch
	2.14	3.46	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.79)	3.44 ↓ (3.71)	2.94 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
42.3%

Draw
26.6%

Bamber Bridge
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

24.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.3%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bamber Bridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bamber Bridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ashton United - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Bange E. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 1, Gilchrist J. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 9)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 2.

Recent performances by Ashton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bamber is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ashton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Bamber Bridge - the odds 3.62 are the expected chance of winning is 25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English FA Cup
03.09.25	Ashton United - Hallam	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Hallam - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Workington - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Rushall Olympic - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWTL
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
06.09.25	Bamber Bridge - Workington	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Town - Bamber Bridge	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cleethorpes Town - Bamber Bridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.04.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	2:1
20.08.24	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	0:0
06.04.24	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	1:3
04.11.23	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	2:2
22.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	1:2
19.11.22	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	3:0
05.02.22	Ashton United - Bamber Bridge	0:0

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