Match Info

Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 1

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Foyka Stadium (Asker)


	Asker Fotball		Follo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2	3.75	3.1	Watch
	2.01	3.82	3.27
	1.96	3.64	3.18
	2	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.71 ↓ (3.73)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asker Fotball
45.1%

Draw
24.7%

Follo
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

24.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

23.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asker Fotball has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asker Fotball than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Asker Fotball - Follo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hejer E. (G) 10. Adukonis E. 22. Emanuelsen S. 16. Fazi R. 8. Getz K. 19. Jorgensen S. 3. Larsen Y. 5. Skulstad J. 14. Sorter R. 18. Spiten-Nysaeter M. 77. Syvertsen K.	1. Ostbye S. (G) 5. Brekke E. 25. Eftedal I. 30. Ghebar D. 18. Gonella R. 4. Hagen H. 21. Mulaj E. 3. Osen H. 10. Ottesen M. 90. Togersen E. 6. Tomas N.
Substitutes
17. Arnesen N. J. 11. Baekken M. 21. Jabari S. R. M. 42. Jatta M. 27. Kenyi J. 1. Normann S. (G) 6. Pettersen D. 20. Sesay L. 9. Stofring T.	23. Elshaug R. 26. Helling G. 7. Hennig E. 27. Jorde J. 24. Joves V. 20. Larsen M. 13. Ostbye E. (G) 16. Ozyilmaz N. F. 28. Schmidt-Lovlund N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Ghebar D. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Fazi R. (Pen),
19', 2 - 1, Sorter R. ⚽,
41', Hagen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Sorter R. ↓, Sesay L. ↑,
67', Adukonis E. ↓, Jatta M. ↑,
67', Syvertsen K. ↓, Baekken M. ↑,
77', Togersen E. ↓, Helling G. ↑,
77', Eftedal I. ↓, Joves V. ↑,
77', Gonella R. ↓, Jorde J. ↑,
80', Ghebar D. ↓, Hennig E. ↑,
87', Fazi R. ↓, Pettersen D. ↑,
90', Kenyi J. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Helling G. ⚽,
90+3', Spiten-Nysaeter M. 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Follo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Follo have a series of guest games.

Asker will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asker won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Asker won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asker Fotball
Club Friendly
16.03.25	Asker Fotball - Alta	2:3 ✺
Norwegian OBOS Supercup
03.03.25	Nordstrand - Asker Fotball	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Asker Fotball - Frigg Oslo	6:0 ✺
08.02.25	Lørenskog - Asker Fotball	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.02.25	Asker Fotball - Ørn-Horten	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW
- Follo
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Kvik Halden - Follo	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	Eidsvold Turn - Follo	5:2 ✺
08.03.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Follo	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Notodden - Follo	1:3 ✺
13.02.25	Hønefoss - Follo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.10.23	Asker Fotball - Follo	1:3
29.04.23	Follo - Asker Fotball	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
18.04.18	Asker Fotball - Follo	5:0
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
19.08.17	Asker Fotball - Follo	2:1
06.05.17	Follo - Asker Fotball	0:0

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