Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Asteras Kaisarianis		Doxa Vyronas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.45
	1.65	3.5	4.79
	1.68	3.33	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2)	3.44 ↑ (3)	4.5 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Kaisarianis
54%

Draw
26%

Doxa Vyronas
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

28.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Kaisarianis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Asteras Kaisarianis's performance.

Doxa Vyronas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doxa Vyronas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Kaisarianis than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asteras Kaisarianis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Vyronas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doxa Vyronas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Asteras Kaisarianis - Doxa Vyronas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Winners stage: ) and 9 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 5 (Losers stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Asteras Kaisarianis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Doxa Vyronas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Asteras Kaisarianis is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Asteras Kaisarianis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Kaisarianis
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
10.01.26	Asteras Kaisarianis - Kentavros Vrilission	5:1 ✺
21.12.25	Aris Petroupolis - Asteras Kaisarianis	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Asteras Kaisarianis - Amarynthiakos	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Diagoras - Asteras Kaisarianis	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Asteras Kaisarianis - Apollon Kalythion	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLT
- Doxa Vyronas
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
11.01.26	Doxa Vyronas - Nea Artaki	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Kentavros Vrilission - Doxa Vyronas	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aris Petroupolis - Doxa Vyronas	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Afantou - Doxa Vyronas	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Amarynthiakos - Doxa Vyronas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
19.10.25	Doxa Vyronas - Asteras Kaisarianis	2:1

Asteras Kaisarianis - Doxa Vyronas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide