The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Asteras Vlachioti 13.3%
Draw 24.5%
Kalamata 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
30.3%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
22.3%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asteras Vlachioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Asteras Vlachioti's form might have worsened.
Kalamata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kalamata's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asteras Vlachioti than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asteras Vlachioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalamata than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalamata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).
Asteras Vlachioti is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Kalamata is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Asteras Vlachioti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Asteras Vlachioti have a series of guest games.
In this match Kalamata is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Asteras Vlachioti won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Vlachioti won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.