Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Astoria Walldorf		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.75	1.85
	3.02	3.79	2.1
	3.54	3.84	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (3.44)	3.79 ↓ (3.86)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astoria Walldorf
27.6%

Draw
24.3%

Freiberg
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

23.8%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

23.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astoria Walldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Walldorf than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walldorf won 0.

Walldorf has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Freiberg is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Freiberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Walldorf won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Walldorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astoria Walldorf
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.08.25	Homburg - Astoria Walldorf	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Astoria Walldorf - Sandhausen	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Astoria Walldorf	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	Astoria Walldorf - Sonnenhof Großaspach	1:4 ✺
02.08.25	Mainz II - Astoria Walldorf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLT
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
30.08.25	Freiberg - Balingen	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Trier - Freiberg	1:4 ✺
16.08.25	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	FSV Frankfurt - Freiberg	1:3 ✺
02.08.25	Freiberg - Freiburg II	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.05.25	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	2:1
16.11.24	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	2:4
23.03.24	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	2:0
16.09.23	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	1:2
18.03.23	Freiberg - Astoria Walldorf	1:1
09.09.22	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	3:1

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