The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astrakhan 51.9%
Draw 24.2%
Neftyanik Izberbash 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
30.3%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
29.8%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Astrakhan's performance.
Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neftyanik Izberbash might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-21.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (+15.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neftyanik Izberbash could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Astrakhan - Neftyanik Izberbash Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Pacho (Penalty Awarded),
65', 2 - 0, Pacho (Penalty Awarded),
75', 3 - 0, Shilov D. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).
Astrakhan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Neftyanik is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Astrakhan is a strong favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
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