Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 22

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Astrio		Onsala

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.40	1.46
	4.7	4.25	1.52
	3.71	4.38	1.63
	5.31	4.68	1.46	Watch
	3.65	4.3	1.6
	4.69	4.38	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.8)	4.4 ↑ (3.85)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrio
20.2%

Draw
20.7%

Onsala
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

22.9%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

17.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Onsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Onsala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrio than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astrio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Onsala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Astrio - Onsala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Bjornberg H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 10th).

Astrio is Relegated to.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astrio won 2.

Astrio has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Onsala has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bookmakers give the edge to Onsala for this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Astrio has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astrio against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Onsala	24	8	6	10	33:37	-4	30
14	Astrio ✔	24	2	4	18	22:57	-35	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Astrio
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
12.09.26	Kongahälla - Astrio	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Astrio - Åstorps	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Jonsereds - Astrio	4:2 ✺
22.08.26	Astrio - Böljan	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Lindome - Astrio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
12.09.26	Onsala - Galtabäcks	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Västra Frölunda - Onsala	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Onsala - Dalstorps	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Onsala - Lindome	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Jonsereds - Onsala	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
30.05.26	Onsala - Astrio	0:0
21.09.25	Astrio - Onsala	1:3
12.04.25	Onsala - Astrio	2:2
13.08.23	Onsala - Astrio	0:3
15.04.23	Astrio - Onsala	2:0
26.06.22	Onsala - Astrio	1:2
10.04.22	Astrio - Onsala	0:0

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