Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Asyut Petroleum

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.68	4.7
	2.04	2.67	5.32
	1.92	2.69	4.87
	2.55	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.56)	2.7 ↓ (2.78)	4.41 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
44.3%

Draw
34.6%

Asyut Petroleum
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.4%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

32.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aswan's performance.

Asyut Petroleum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Asyut Petroleum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aswan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asyut Petroleum than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Asyut Petroleum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Aswan - Asyut Petroleum Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Aswan (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aswan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Sudfa M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).

Aswan is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Asyut Petroleum has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aswan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aswan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Aswan - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Asyut Petroleum - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.33%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
09.10.25	El Mansoura - Aswan	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Aswan - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Tersana - Aswan	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Aswan - La Viena	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	WE SC - Aswan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTT
- Asyut Petroleum
Egyptian Division 2 A
09.10.25	Asyut Petroleum - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	El Dakhleya - Asyut Petroleum	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Asyut Petroleum - Olympic El Qanah	0:4 ✺
18.09.25	Masar - Asyut Petroleum	0:0 ✺
11.09.25	Asyut Petroleum - El Sekka El Hadid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
26.03.25	Asyut Petroleum - Aswan	1:2
18.11.24	Aswan - Asyut Petroleum	2:0
23.04.24	Asyut Petroleum - Aswan	2:0
04.12.23	Aswan - Asyut Petroleum	0:0

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