Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday


	Atalanta U20		Lecce U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.7
	1.79	4.1	3.73	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.6
	1.73	3.76	3.89
	1.81	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	3.77 ↓ (3.99)	3.7 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U20
51.4%

Draw
24.1%

Lecce U20
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lecce U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zanchi E. (G) 2. Gobbo L. 15. Parmiggiani P. 98. Isoa I. 30. Percassi G. 8. Mencaraglia F. 58. Bonanomi A. 29. Aliprandi M. 10. Artesani N. 33. Camara H. 11. Baldo N.	1. Penev P. (G) 4. Scott E. 5. Pehlivanov C. 6. Pacia F. 2. Rashidi W. 7. Laerke H. 15. Staszak W. 80. Kovac N. 3. Dalla Costa L. . Longjean 19. Esteban P.
Substitutes
22. Anelli A. (G) 13. Barbieri A. (G) 24. Bilac M. 21. Bono D. 41. Camara I. 40. Colombo M. 39. Curcio D. 19. Gasparello F. 3. Maffessoli M. . Marrone F. 14. Rinaldi A.	41. Buzzerio M. . Danese T. 99. Esposito P. 25. Kozarac H. 24. Lupo C. (G) 77. Palmieri A. 21. Perrone S. 27. Persano E. 45. Piccinno D. 43. Specchia M. 14. Spinelli N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Camara H. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Percassi G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 2 - 1, Esteban P. ⚽,
60', Staszak W. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Pehlivanov C. ⚽,
70', Percassi G. ↓, Marrone F. ↑,
76', Baldo N. ↓, Gasparello F. ↑,
80', Bonanomi A. ↓, Bono D. ↑,
84', Esteban P. 🟨,
84', Esteban P. ↓, Esposito P. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Pacia F. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

In recent matches, Atalanta U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lecce U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atalanta U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atalanta U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atalanta U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Lecce U20	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4
20	Atalanta U20	5	1	0	4	7:13	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U20
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Cagliari U20 - Atalanta U20	0:1 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
03.01.26	Monza U20 - Atalanta U20	1:3 ✺
22.12.25	Atalanta U20 - Juventus U20	0:2 ✺
17.12.25	Cagliari U20 - Atalanta U20	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atalanta U20 - Cremonese U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLT
- Lecce U20
Coppa Italia Primavera
07.01.26	Sassuolo U20 - Lecce U20	3:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
04.01.26	Lecce U20 - Inter U20	3:1 ✺
22.12.25	Torino U20 - Lecce U20	3:3 ✺
17.12.25	Lecce U20 - Napoli U20	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Frosinone U20 - Lecce U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
16.03.25	Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20	2:1
06.12.24	Lecce U20 - Atalanta U20	2:1

Atalanta U20 - Lecce U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide